Showing posts with label Reagan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reagan. Show all posts

Monday, 15 August 2011

Authoritarianism and Neoliberalism

     One of the great ironies of Neoliberalism is the fact that in order to provide freedom and economic progress it has to use increased authoritarianism in order to put down those who don't share in the economic progress (i.e. much of the population).

     This has been a constant theme throughout the Neoliberalist world and it is by no means a coincidence that the first Neoliberal experiment required the dictator Pinochet in Chile. Across Latin America, Neoliberal regimes were lead by dictators who ruthlessly crushed opposition to their plans. In countries like Mexico and Columbia, the war on drugs is the front under which opposition is fought, a great irony considered the explosion in the drug trade was a result of Neoliberalism The same was occuring across the world in Indonesia under General Suharto and South-East Asia in general. Even in Iraq, the invasion has lead to the crushing of trade unions and a Neoliberal constitution.

    The Developed World fares no differently in this repect. In the U.S., the poor were criminalised, again under the pretext of a war on Drugs. This gave both an ideological and practical way of dismissing the concerns of the poor. Throw them in prison, they're just drug addicts. This lead to the explosion of prison populations in the U.S., a country that accounts for 5% of the world's population accounts for 25% of the world's prison population. We have seen the same trend in the U.K.

Now, why is this relevant? Well, today Cameron is aboutfacing on his cuts to the police. Was this predictable? Well personally, I was surprised when I heard that he was cutting the police in the first place. That said, when nothing happened I thought I was perhaps mistaken. In the wake of the riots however it seems that Neoliberalism does indeed lead to increased authoritarianism in order to crush any opposition or discontent.


We should probably look back to the Queen of Neoliberalism, a Miss Margaret Thatcher who set the ball rolling in the U.K.. What did Thatcher do in terms of police spending? Well, she increased police numbers in England and Wales from 89,226 in 1979 to over 93,000 in 1981, spending on the police increased rapidly, going from £1,035 million in 1978 to more than double that amount by 1982-3 and up again to £3,825 million by 1988-9. [Source: R Reiner and M Cross (eds), Beyond Law and Order: Criminal Justice Policy and Politics into the 1990s (Macmillan, 1991).].Cameron should have learned from this as it allowed Thatcher to enjoy the support of the police in the crushing of the Miner's strike and other protests against her rule. Today he is seeing the mistake of his overconfidence in his abilities and will attempt to regain the confidence that the police have lost in him.


What will Cameron do now? It seems he may have to call on the old reserves of Neoliberalism, patriotism and fear. In yet another irony, Neoliberalism which is supposed to end the idea of nation-states and terror often requires nationalistic fervour and fear to maintain support. Whether it was the Soviets for Reagan, the Falklands and the IRA for Thatcher, The War on Terror for Bush and Blair it is a constant trend in Neoliberalism, fear and patriotism. It remains to be seen whether or not Cameron will be able to whip up nationalist fervour in the wake of the riots, if not he may have to declar a war, perhaps on some new aspect of terrorism (maybe an IRA resurgence) or some small-time dictator. These remain unlikely however as declaring war on dictators is becoming more and more unpopular and the IRA don't seem to be giving him anything. 

    Cameron could attempt to build up fear regarding a collapse of moral society but this runs the risk of causing it to become true and may cause a strengthening of class differences. All in all, Cameron's best target is the EU. He can paint the EU as the external enemy, the problem, and he can use the recent riots to help. He will probably propose tough measures and then when these contradict EU laws he will use that as a platform to launch a general attack on British involvement in the EU. Other than that, only an attack on British soil will help Cameron create a mood of nationalism and fear.

Thursday, 11 August 2011

A Predictable Mess

Anyone who is in anyway familiar with my posts will know I tend to concentrate a lot on income inequalities in the First World and how they affect society.

In particular I have often highlighted the fact that homicide rates (a proxy for measuring total crime) are most affected by income inequality:
People would also know that the U.K. has some of the worst income inequality and social mobility levels in the developed world. I have often pointed out that social mobility in the U.K. has collapsed. In the wake of the riots I can't help but feel vindicated.

Now, a disclaimer. I am not making any comment on whether or not the rioters should or should not have rioted. I am not questioning whether or not this was the 'right' response to income inequalities or anything else. It remains criminal behaviour.

What I am saying however is that certain economic conditions result in predictable effects. In this case, income inequality and low social mobility result in an underclass which is waiting to explode. The spark in this instance was the shooting of Mark Duggan but that was by no means the gunpowder that has steadily accumulated over the past few decades.

   In this case there are two solutions to the problem. The first is increasing authoritarianism and the second is economic and social reform. Given that neoliberal policies that have dominated since the 80s and given the watchword 'austerity' it seems we will find ourselves moving towards authoritarian policies rather than reform. We have seen the same in the U.S. where incarceration rates have increased dramatically since Reagan.
  More police and tougher sentences is the easy and comfortable response, it appeases the masses and it fits nicely with Conservative thought. Already the recent cuts to the police are being reconsidered.
    In direct contrast, the cuts to the social services in these areas are being flatly ignored. There has been no talk of acutally solving these issues (Cameron's 'big society' apart). It seems the vested interests and prevailing dogma won't allow for this problem to actually be solved. Sigh.....

Sunday, 31 July 2011

Cold War Paranoia

   In the 1970's Team B was set up, after being heavily pushed for by a younger Donald Rumsfeld. It served as an ideological weapon with which the Neoconservatives would drum fear into the American people and so pave way for their election (in the form of Ronald Reagan with his missile gap).
    One of the most disgraceful pieces of distortion was with regard to anti-submarine warfare. The CIA believed that the Soviets were not putting large amounts of resources into a submarine detection system. Team B in an incredible leap of paranoid logic took the same facts and concluded the following - the fact that the evidence was lacking was evidence in itself!
   The reasoning? Clearly if there were no clear signs of a submarine detection system it meant that the Soviets had developed a system completely indetectable to the U.S.! This reminds me of a wonderful scene in the fantastic book A Scanner Darkly by Philip K. Dick when the main character and his friends return home, paranoid about whether or not their home was broken into in their absence.

    "When they rolled to a stop in the driveway, parked , and walked warily toward the front door, they found Barris's note and the door unlocked, but when they cautiously opened the door everything appeared as it had been when they left.
     Barris's suspicions surfaced instantly. "Ah," he murmered, entering. He swiftly reached to the top of the bookshelf by the door and brought down his .22 pistol, which he gripped as the other men moved about. The animals approached them as usual, clamoring to be fed.
    "Well, Barris," Luckman said, "I can see you're right. There definitely was someone here, because you seeyou see, too, don't you, Bob?the scrupulous covering-over of all the signs they would otherwise left testifies to their""

    In precisely the same fashion as the paranoid drug addicts above, for the Neoconservative, a lack of evidence is evidence of a still greater crime. One has to wonder how much this influenced Rumsfeld and Bush when they considered WMDs in Iraq. And as they sought to instil fear in the American people as Reagan did with his missile gap.